The Magazine Publishing Industry
The magazine
publishing industry is a $41.2 billion industry annually with a growth rate
that is in slight decline at about -0.8 percent for 2015 and a projected
decline for 2016. It’s interesting to note that industry employment is expected
to take a slight dip over the next couple of years and then rise before going flat
over the next three years; while revenues will take a slight dip and then rise
over four or more years. My guess is that improved efficiencies will drive the
increased revenues with fewer employees. Print advertising expenditures will
also take a slight dip before rising and flattening for the foreseeable future.
As the
annual growth indicates, the magazine publishing industry is currently in the decline
stage of its life cycle. According to IBISWorld the key factors indicating an
industry is on the decline are:
- Revenue grows slower than economy
- Falling company numbers; large firms dominate
- Little technology and process change
- Declining per capita consumption of goods
- Stable and clearly segmented products and brands
The
decline is mainly a result of declining print advertising expenditures which
happened over the past ten years; having a major effect on the entire industry
as 50 percent of the industry revenues are from advertising.
The growth of multimedia companies is one
the most popular trends in the industry
as companies increase their portfolios to offer more than one type of print
publication along with a host of other outlets under the same umbrella. This
offers a larger selection of demographic groups for their customers. Another
trend is the removal of the middle man in the distribution process. Publishers
now work directly with retailers to get their publications in stores. And
lastly another trend for publishers is to move towards digital versions of their
publications. They are providing downloadable data files with special software
that offers easy navigation for readers.
As for
trends in industry costs those are increasing as the price of paper increases.
Although printing cost in the USA and other developed countries are going down,
the international market for emerging economies is pushing the paper price up.
The largest trend of the entire industry is the digital age. Everyone is trying
is establish a digital presence with their niche market. Since customers have
so many different ways that they can view content publishers are trying to make
sure their content has a responsive design to increase ease of use for all
customers. On the digital front that content is trending towards a younger
audience as they are more technology savvy.
Research
indicates that as far as sales are concerned a digital platform coupled with a
print platform offers the best sales results. But publishers did have to decrease their costs
for print ads in order to survive the on slot of digital and it appears to
there is no going back.
There
aren’t really any new requirements, but the industry is subject to changes in
tax rates, postage and copyright regulations. Publishers also sell or rent their
contact list and that can fall into the area of consumer privacy in dealing with
telemarketing and email marketing. Of course the industry is in opposition to
any new laws that increase these costs. The level of regulation is light and
the trend is steady.
The key success factors to the magazine
publishing industry are:
- Access to niche markets – this is important when online offerings are a revenue driver
- Access to a highly skilled workforce – this is the backbone of any good company
- Control of distribution arrangements – allows companies to maintain favorable arrangements
- Effective cost control – drives price competitiveness and profits
- Establishment of brand names – this is important because it can influence buyers’ perceptions and help drive sales
Companies demonstrating success in the
magazine publishing industry are able to predict the trends of the future and
get a head start on new product and service offerings. This is demonstrated by
the industry leader Advance Publications, who is able to show growth while
others are declining because of the early restructuring and reformatting of
their major publications along with “timely investments in the digital market.”
In reviewing the standard financial ratios for the industry over the past ten years –
there is a steady downward trend. The forecast for the next five years
continues that downward trend. Of the key ratios such as revenue, revenue per
employee and share of the economy – they are all on a downward slop with share
of the economy dropping in half from 2006 to 2020 (from 0.12 to 0.06)
As an erstwhile investor, these statistics would be pretty offputting. This is an industry in decline. Why would I want to invest into it?
ReplyDeleteI'd be interested in knowing more about minority and regional magazine consumption (or both) and how that compares to national averages, since you're planning to start here. Do people in this region read more or less than the norm? Do minorities?
Then of course the divide between print and online. How do those numbers compare? Can you make money online?
I like the concept, but the state of the industry scares me.
You should probably consider doing some primary research in the form of a survey or actually going somewhere with a clipboard and asking people what they think of your idea. Sounds like we make be doing that!
Todd